„A mechanistic model has the following advantages:
1. It contributes to our scientific understanding of the phenomenon under study.
2. It usually provides a better basis for extrapolation (at least to conditions worthy of further experimental investigation if not through the entire range of all input variables).
3. It tends to be parsimonious (i. e, frugal) in the use of parameters and to provide better estimates of the response“

—  George Box

Quelle: Empirical Model-Building and Response Surfaces (1987), p. 13-14 as cited in: Andrew Odlyzko (2010) Social Networks and Mathematical Models http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/doc/ecra.westland.pdf Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 9(1): 26-28 (2010)

Übernommen aus Wikiquote. Letzte Aktualisierung 3. Juni 2021. Geschichte
George Box Foto
George Box
britischer Statistiker 1919 - 2013

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„Simple calculations based on a range of variables are better than elaborate ones based on limited input.“

—  Ralph Brazelton Peck American civil engineer 1912 - 2008

as taken by Professor Ralph Peck's Legacy Website http://peck.geoengineer.org/words.html#

Judea Pearl Foto
Sigmund Freud Foto

„I do not in the least underestimate bisexuality... I expect it to provide all further enlightenment.“

—  Sigmund Freud Austrian neurologist known as the founding father of psychoanalysis 1856 - 1939

Letter to Wilhelm Fliess (25 March 1898)
1890s

Clive Staples Lewis Foto

„We shall never be safe unless we already understand in our hearts all that the anti-democrats can say, and have provided for it better than they.“

—  Clive Staples Lewis Christian apologist, novelist, and Medievalist 1898 - 1963

Equality (1943)
Kontext: Every intrusion of the spirit that says, "I'm as good as you" into our personal and spiritual life is to be resisted just as jealously as every intrusion of bureaucracy or privilege into our politics. Hierarchy within can alone preserve egalitarianism without. Romantic attacks on democracy will come again. We shall never be safe unless we already understand in our hearts all that the anti-democrats can say, and have provided for it better than they. Human nature will not permanently endure flat equality if it is extended from its proper political field into the more real, more concrete fields within. Let us wear equality; but let us undress every night.

Francis Escudero Foto
Albert Camus Foto

„The welfare of the people in particular has always been the alibi of tyrants, and it provides the further advantage of giving the servants of tyranny a good conscience.“

—  Albert Camus, buch Resistance, Rebellion, and Death

"Homage to an Exile", published as an essay in Actuelles III, originally a speech "delivered 7 December 1955 at a banquet in honor of President Eduardo Santos, editor of El Tiempo, driven out of Colombia by the dictatorship".
Resistance, Rebellion, and Death (1960)
Kontext: The welfare of the people in particular has always been the alibi of tyrants, and it provides the further advantage of giving the servants of tyranny a good conscience. It would be easy, however, to destroy that good conscience by shouting to them: if you want the happiness of the people, let them speak out and tell what kind of happiness they want and what kind they don't want! But, in truth, the very ones who make use of such alibis know they are lies; they leave to their intellectuals on duty the chore of believing in them and of proving that religion, patriotism, and justice need for their survival the sacrifice of freedom.

William Stanley Jevons Foto

„An organization comes into being when (1) there are persons able to communicate with each other (2) who are willing to contribute action (3) to accomplish a common purpose.“

—  Chester Barnard, buch The Functions of the Executive

Quelle: The Functions of the Executive (1938), p. 82; Highlighted section cited among others in: Dennis K. Mumby (2012), Organizational Communication: A Critical Approach. p. 8
Kontext: An organization comes into being when (1) there are persons able to communicate with each other (2) who are willing to contribute action (3) to accomplish a common purpose. The elements of an organization are therefore (1) communication; (2) willingness to serve; and (3) common purpose. These elements are necessary and sufficient conditions initially, and they are found in all such organizations. The third element, purpose, is implicit in the definition. Willingness to serve, and communication, and the interdependence of the three elements in general, and their mutual dependence in specifie cooperative systems, are matters of experience and observation.

Didier Sornette Foto

„Knowledge is encoded in models. Models are synthetic sets of rules, and pictures, and algorithms providing us with useful representations of the world of our perceptions and of their patterns.“

—  Didier Sornette French scientist 1957

Quelle: Why Stock Markets Crash - Critical Events in Complex Systems (2003), Chapter 5, Modeling Financial Bubbles And Market Crashes, p. 134.

Immanuel Kant Foto

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